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COVID-19, SARS and MERS: are they closely related?

Published:March 28, 2020DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cmi.2020.03.026

      Abstract

      Background

      The 2019 novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) is a new human coronavirus which is spreading with epidemic features in China and other Asian countries; cases have also been reported worldwide. This novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is associated with a respiratory illness that may lead to severe pneumonia and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Although related to the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), COVID-19 shows some peculiar pathogenetic, epidemiological and clinical features which to date are not completely understood.

      Aims

      To provide a review of the differences in pathogenesis, epidemiology and clinical features of COVID-19, SARS and MERS.

      Sources

      The most recent literature in the English language regarding COVID-19 has been reviewed, and extracted data have been compared with the current scientific evidence about SARS and MERS epidemics.

      Content

      COVID-19 seems not to be very different from SARS regarding its clinical features. However, it has a fatality rate of 2.3%, lower than that of SARS (9.5%) and much lower than that of MERS (34.4%). The possibility cannot be excluded that because of the less severe clinical picture of COVID-19 it can spread in the community more easily than MERS and SARS. The actual basic reproductive number (R0) of COVID-19 (2.0–2.5) is still controversial. It is probably slightly higher than the R0 of SARS (1.7–1.9) and higher than that of MERS (<1). A gastrointestinal route of transmission for SARS-CoV-2, which has been assumed for SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV, cannot be ruled out and needs further investigation.

      Implications

      There is still much more to know about COVID-19, especially as concerns mortality and its capacity to spread on a pandemic level. Nonetheless, all of the lessons we learned in the past from the SARS and MERS epidemics are the best cultural weapons with which to face this new global threat.

      Keywords

      Introduction

      The 2019 novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) is a new human coronavirus which emerged at the end of December 2019 in Wuhan, China. It is currently spreading with epidemic features in China and other Asian countries, and cases have been reported in Europe, Australia and North America. Currently (as of 8th March 2020) 105 586 confirmed cases have been reported in 101 countries, with a total of 3584 deaths [].
      Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is the clinical syndrome associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection; it is characterized by a respiratory syndrome with a variable degree of severity, ranging from a mild upper respiratory tract illness to severe interstitial pneumonia and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) [
      • Chen N.
      • Zhou M.
      • Dong X.
      • Qu J.
      • Gong F.
      • Han Y.
      • et al.
      Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study.
      ,
      • Wang D.
      • Hu B.
      • Hu C.
      • Zhu F.
      • Liu X.
      • Zhang J.
      • et al.
      Clinical characteristics of 138 hospitalized patients with 2019 novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia in Wuhan, China.
      ,
      • Liu K.
      • Fang Y.-Y.
      • Deng Y.
      • Liu W.
      • Wang M.-F.
      • Ma J.-P.
      • et al.
      Clinical characteristics of novel coronavirus cases in tertiary hospitals in Hubei Province.
      ].
      Although SARS-CoV-2 belongs to the same Betacoronavirus genus as the coronaviruses responsible for the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) (SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV, respectively), this novel virus seems to be associated with milder infections. Moreover, SARS and MERS were associated mainly with nosocomial spread, whereas SARS-CoV-2 is much more widely transmitted in the community [
      • Munster V.J.
      • Koopmans M.
      • van Doremalen N.
      • van Riel D.
      • de Wit E.
      A novel coronavirus emerging in China — key questions for impact assessment.
      ].
      In this review we aim to analyse the differences in pathogenesis, epidemiology and clinical features among COVID-19, SARS and MERS.

       Phylogeny

      Genome sequence analysis has shown that SARS-CoV-2 belongs to the Betacoronavirus genus, which includes Bat SARS-like coronavirus, SARS-CoV, and MERS-CoV [
      • Chen Y.
      • Liu Q.
      • Guo D.
      Emerging coronaviruses: genome structure, replication, and pathogenesis.
      ].
      SARS-CoV-2 possesses a genomic structure which is typical of other betacoronaviruses. Like other coronaviruses, its genome contains 14 open reading frames (ORFs) encoding 27 proteins. The ORF1 and ORF2 at the 5′-terminal region of the genome encode 15 non-structural proteins important for virus replication [
      • Malik Y.S.
      • Sircar S.
      • Bhat S.
      • Sharun K.
      • Dhama K.
      • Dadar M.
      • et al.
      Emerging novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) — current scenario, evolutionary perspective based on genome analysis and recent developments.
      ,
      • Wu A.
      • Peng Y.
      • Huang B.
      • Ding X.
      • Wang X.
      • Niu P.
      • et al.
      Commentary genome composition and divergence of the novel coronavirus ( 2019-nCoV ) originating in China.
      ]. The 3′-terminal region of the genome encodes structural proteins—namely spike protein (S), envelope protein (E), membrane protein (M), and nucleocapsid (N)—plus eight accessory proteins [
      • Malik Y.S.
      • Sircar S.
      • Bhat S.
      • Sharun K.
      • Dhama K.
      • Dadar M.
      • et al.
      Emerging novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) — current scenario, evolutionary perspective based on genome analysis and recent developments.
      ,
      • Wu A.
      • Peng Y.
      • Huang B.
      • Ding X.
      • Wang X.
      • Niu P.
      • et al.
      Commentary genome composition and divergence of the novel coronavirus ( 2019-nCoV ) originating in China.
      ].
      Phylogenetic tree analysis of the novel coronavirus showed that SARS-CoV-2 belongs, together with SARS-CoV and Bat SARS-like coronavirus, to a different clade from MERS-CoV, and it is more phylogenetically related to Bat SARS-like coronaviruses (isolated in China from horseshoe bats between 2015 and 2018) than to SARS-CoV (Table 1). This suggests a different viral evolution from SARS and MERS, involving bats as a wild reservoir [
      • Wu A.
      • Peng Y.
      • Huang B.
      • Ding X.
      • Wang X.
      • Niu P.
      • et al.
      Commentary genome composition and divergence of the novel coronavirus ( 2019-nCoV ) originating in China.
      ,
      • Benvenuto D.
      • Giovanetti M.
      • Ciccozzi A.
      • Spoto S.
      • Angeletti S.
      • Ciccozzi M.
      The 2019-new coronavirus epidemic: evidence for virus evolution.
      ,
      • Chan J.F.-W.
      • Yuan S.
      • Kok K.-H.
      • To K.K.-W.
      • Chu H.
      • Jin Yang
      • et al.
      A familial cluster of pneumonia associated with the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating person-to-person transmission: a study of a family cluster.
      ,
      • Chan J.F.-W.
      • Kok K.-H.
      • Zhu Z.
      • Chu H.
      • To K.K.-W.
      • Yuan S.
      • et al.
      Genomic characterization of the 2019 novel human-pathogenic coronavirus isolated from a patient with atypical pneumonia after visiting Wuhan.
      ,
      • Lu R.
      • Zhao X.
      • Li J.
      • Niu P.
      • Yang B.
      • Wu H.
      • et al.
      Genomic characterisation and epidemiology of 2019 novel coronavirus: implications for virus origins and receptor binding.
      ,
      • Paraskevis D.
      • Kostaki E.G.
      • Magiorkinis G.
      • Panayiotakopoulos G.
      • Sourvinos G.
      • Tsiodras S.
      Full-genome evolutionary analysis of the novel corona virus (2019-nCoV) rejects the hypothesis of emergence as a result of a recent recombination event.
      ]. Genomic comparison between SARS and SARS-CoV-2 has shown that there are only 380 amino acid substitutions between SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-like coronaviruses, mostly concentrated in the non-structural protein genes, while 27 mutations have been found in genes encoding the viral spike protein S responsible for receptor binding and cell entry [
      • Wu A.
      • Peng Y.
      • Huang B.
      • Ding X.
      • Wang X.
      • Niu P.
      • et al.
      Commentary genome composition and divergence of the novel coronavirus ( 2019-nCoV ) originating in China.
      ]. These mutations might explain the apparent lower pathogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 compared with SARS-CoV, but further studies are required [
      • Benvenuto D.
      • Giovanetti M.
      • Ciccozzi A.
      • Spoto S.
      • Angeletti S.
      • Ciccozzi M.
      The 2019-new coronavirus epidemic: evidence for virus evolution.
      ].
      Table 1Phylogenetic, pathogenetic and epidemiological characteristics of SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV
      Phylogenetic originAnimal reservoirIntermediate hostReceptorCase fatality rateR0
      SARS-CoV-2Clade I, cluster IIaBatsUnknownAngiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2)2.3% [
      The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020.
      ]
      2–2.5 [
      ]
      SARS-CoVClade I, cluster IIbBatsPalm civetsAngiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2)9.5%1.7–1.9
      MERS-CoVClade IIBatsCamelsDipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4)34.4%0.7

       Pathogenicity

      Accumulating evidence based on genomic analysis suggests that SARS-CoV-2 shares with SARS-CoV the same human cell receptor, the angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), while MERS-CoV uses dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) to enter host cells (Table 1) [
      • Wan Y.
      • Shang J.
      • Graham R.
      • Baric R.S.
      • Li F.
      Receptor recognition by novel coronavirus from Wuhan: an analysis based on decade-long structural studies of SARS.
      ]. It is well established that SARS-CoV emerged as a human pathogen thanks to favourable mutations in the receptor binding domain (RBD) of the S protein which increased its pathogenicity by strengthening its affinity with the receptor; it is therefore assumed that SARS-CoV-2 has behaved in a similar way [
      • Wan Y.
      • Shang J.
      • Graham R.
      • Baric R.S.
      • Li F.
      Receptor recognition by novel coronavirus from Wuhan: an analysis based on decade-long structural studies of SARS.
      ]. However, in SARS-CoV-2 no amino acid substitutions were present in the RBD that directly interacts with human receptor ACE2 compared with SARS-CoV, but six mutations occurred in other regions of the RBD [
      • Wu A.
      • Peng Y.
      • Huang B.
      • Ding X.
      • Wang X.
      • Niu P.
      • et al.
      Commentary genome composition and divergence of the novel coronavirus ( 2019-nCoV ) originating in China.
      ]. The role of such substitutions on the pathogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 must be further investigated. Analysis of receptor affinity shows that SARS-CoV-2 binds ACE2 more efficiently than the 2003 strain of SARS-CoV, although less efficiently than the 2002 strain [
      • Wan Y.
      • Shang J.
      • Graham R.
      • Baric R.S.
      • Li F.
      Receptor recognition by novel coronavirus from Wuhan: an analysis based on decade-long structural studies of SARS.
      ]. Moreover, it has been predicted that a single nucleotide mutation on the RBD of SARS-CoV-2, if it occurs, could further increase its pathogenicity [
      • Wan Y.
      • Shang J.
      • Graham R.
      • Baric R.S.
      • Li F.
      Receptor recognition by novel coronavirus from Wuhan: an analysis based on decade-long structural studies of SARS.
      ].
      ACE2 is an ectoenzyme anchored to the plasma membrane of the cells of several tissues, especially those of the lower respiratory tract, heart, kidney and gastrointestinal tract [
      • Imai Y.
      • Kuba K.
      • Ohto-Nakanishi T.
      • Penninger J.M.
      Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) in disease pathogenesis.
      ]. Inoculation of the 2019 nCoV onto surface layers of human airway epithelial cells in vitro causes cytopathic effects and cessation of the cilia movements [
      • Zhu N.
      • Zhang D.
      • Wang W.
      • Li X.
      • Yang B.
      • Song J.
      • et al.
      A novel coronavirus from patients with pneumonia in China, 2019.
      ]. SARS-CoV highly replicates in the type I and II pneumocytes and in enterocytes, and the SARS-induced down-regulation of ACE2 receptors in lung epithelium contributes to the pathogenesis of acute lung injury and subsequent ARDS [
      • Imai Y.
      • Kuba K.
      • Ohto-Nakanishi T.
      • Penninger J.M.
      Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) in disease pathogenesis.
      ,
      • Hamming I.
      • Timens W.
      • Bulthuis M.L.C.
      • Lely A.T.
      • Navis G.J.
      • van Goor H.
      Tissue distribution of ACE2 protein, the functional receptor for SARS coronavirus. A first step in understanding SARS pathogenesis.
      ]. Whether the higher receptor affinity for ACE2 of SARS-CoV-2 than SARS-CoV could lead to a more severe lung involvement in COVID-19 than in SARS requires further investigation.

       Transmissibility

      The reproductive number (R0) of the novel infection is estimated by the World Health Organization (WHO) to range between 2 and 2.5, which is higher than that for SARS (1.7–1.9) and MERS (<1), suggesting that SARS-CoV-2 has a higher pandemic potential [
      ,
      • Li Q.
      • Guan X.
      • Wu P.
      • Wang X.
      • Zhou L.
      • Tong Y.
      • et al.
      Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus–infected pneumonia.
      ,
      • Chen J.
      Pathogenicity and transmissibility of 2019-nCoV—a quick overview and comparison with other emerging viruses.
      ,
      • Wu J.T.
      • Leung K.
      • Leung G.M.
      Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study.
      ,
      • Liu T.
      • Hu J.
      • Kang M.
      • Lin L.
      • Zhong H.
      • Xiao J.
      • et al.
      Transmission dynamics of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV).
      ]. However, it must be noted that some published studies have estimated an R0 for SARS reaching the value of 4 [
      • Bauch C.T.
      • Lloyd-Smith J.O.
      • Coffee M.P.
      • Galvani A.P.
      Dynamically modeling SARS and other newly emerging respiratory illnesses.
      ]. Interestingly, a recent review by Liu and colleagues has shown that the average reproductive number of SARS-CoV-2 is estimated to be 3.28, with a median value of 2.79, thus exceeding the WHO estimates [
      • Liu Y.
      • Gayle A.A.
      • Wilder-Smith A.
      • Rocklöv J.
      The reproductive number of COVID-19 is higher compared to SARS coronavirus.
      ]. Nonetheless, in Table 1 we report only the WHO data, since the estimation of R0 depends on the estimation method used, and the current estimate can be biased by insufficient data and the short onset times of the diseases, as Liu and colleagues also state.
      According to a recent large descriptive study carried out by the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CCDC) on 44 672 individuals diagnosed with COVID-19 in China, the fatality rate of the novel coronavirus infection is estimated to be 2.3% [
      The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020.
      ], lower than that of SARS (9.5%) and much lower than that of MERS (34.4%) [
      • Munster V.J.
      • Koopmans M.
      • van Doremalen N.
      • van Riel D.
      • de Wit E.
      A novel coronavirus emerging in China — key questions for impact assessment.
      ,
      • Chen J.
      Pathogenicity and transmissibility of 2019-nCoV—a quick overview and comparison with other emerging viruses.
      ]. Interestingly, according to the CCDC, the case fatality rate in the Hubei province, where the epidemic started, is seven-fold higher than in other provinces [
      The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020.
      ]. This could be related to the fact that, among the 44 672 cases reported by the CCDC, 10 567 cases (14.6%) were diagnosed only clinically and exclusively in the Hubei province. Therefore, it cannot be excluded that clinically diagnosed cases presented with a more severe clinical picture, thus increasing the case fatality rate [
      The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020.
      ]. After the change of the case definition, the number of cases increased due to the inclusion of cases cumulated over the previous weeks. The question is: were mild cases registered at all? It is not a minor matter, because including mild cases will reduce the mortality rate. Indeed, the number of infected cases outside of China is currently 24 727, with 484 fatal outcomes, a mortality rate of 1.9% []. Of interest, the fatality rate of the novel coronavirus infection increases to an estimated 14% when considering only the hospitalized cases, reaching the overall SARS case-fatality rate that was estimated to be around 15% [
      • Wu P.
      • Hao X.
      • Lau E.H.Y.
      • Wong J.Y.
      • Leung K.S.M.
      • Wu J.T.
      • et al.
      Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020.
      ,
      • World Health Organization, Department of Communicable Disease Surveillance and Response
      Consensus document on the epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS).
      ].

       Clinical features

      To date, complete clinical data concerning COVID-19 have been reported for 458 cases in the English language literature, of which 415 are from the Hubei province in China [
      • Chen N.
      • Zhou M.
      • Dong X.
      • Qu J.
      • Gong F.
      • Han Y.
      • et al.
      Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study.
      ,
      • Wang D.
      • Hu B.
      • Hu C.
      • Zhu F.
      • Liu X.
      • Zhang J.
      • et al.
      Clinical characteristics of 138 hospitalized patients with 2019 novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia in Wuhan, China.
      ,
      • Liu K.
      • Fang Y.-Y.
      • Deng Y.
      • Liu W.
      • Wang M.-F.
      • Ma J.-P.
      • et al.
      Clinical characteristics of novel coronavirus cases in tertiary hospitals in Hubei Province.
      ,
      • Huang C.
      • Wang Y.
      • Li X.
      • Ren L.
      • Zhao J.
      • Hu Y.
      • et al.
      Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan , China.
      ], 17 are from other Chinese provinces [
      • Wang Z.
      • Chen X.
      • Lu Y.
      • Chen F.
      • Zhang W.
      Clinical characteristics and therapeutic procedure for four cases with 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia receiving combined Chinese and Western medicine treatment.
      ,
      • Chang D.
      • Lin M.
      • Wei L.
      • Xie L.
      • Zhu G.
      • Dela Cruz C.S.
      • et al.
      Epidemiologic and clinical characteristics of novel coronavirus infections involving 13 patients outside Wuhan, China.
      ], 25 are from Korea [
      • Kim J.Y.
      • Choe P.G.
      • Oh Y.
      • Oh K.J.
      • Kim J.
      • Park S.J.
      • et al.
      The first case of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia imported into Korea from Wuhan, China: implication for infection prevention and control measures.
      ,
      • Ki M, -nCoV T.F.F.
      Epidemiologic characteristics of early cases with 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) disease in Republic of Korea.
      ] and one is from USA [
      • Holshue M.L.
      • DeBolt C.
      • Lindquist S.
      • Lofy K.H.
      • Wiesman J.
      • Bruce H.
      • et al.
      First case of 2019 novel coronavirus in the United States.
      ]. In Table 2 the main clinical characteristics from the three most significant case series of COVID-19 cases are listed and compared with the most recently available data about SARS and MERS. The median age of the COVID-19 cases ranges from 49 to 57 years (similar to SARS and MERS), higher in those admitted to the ICU; up to 50% of patients reported a chronic comorbid illness in a slightly lower percentage compared to patients diagnosed with MERS. The most common presenting symptom is fever, followed by cough, sore throat and dyspnoea; all of the infected patients had at least one of these symptoms. However, according to the CCDC report, 81% of the cases had mild symptoms and 1.2% were asymptomatic [
      The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020.
      ].
      Table 2Clinical characteristics of COVID-19, SARS and MERS
      COVID-19 [,
      • Chen N.
      • Zhou M.
      • Dong X.
      • Qu J.
      • Gong F.
      • Han Y.
      • et al.
      Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study.
      ,
      • Wang D.
      • Hu B.
      • Hu C.
      • Zhu F.
      • Liu X.
      • Zhang J.
      • et al.
      Clinical characteristics of 138 hospitalized patients with 2019 novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia in Wuhan, China.
      ]
      SARS [
      • Booth C.M.
      Clinical features and short-term outcomes of 144 patients with SARS in the Greater Toronto Area.
      ,
      • Hui D.S.C.
      • Zumla A.
      Severe acute respiratory syndrome.
      ,
      • Lee N.
      • Hui D.
      • Wu A.
      • Chan P.
      • Cameron P.
      • Joynt G.M.
      • et al.
      A major outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong.
      ,
      • Chu K.H.
      • Tsang W.K.
      • Tang C.S.
      • Lam M.F.
      • Lai F.M.
      • To K.F.
      • et al.
      Acute renal impairment in coronavirus-associated severe acute respiratory syndrome.
      ]
      MERS [
      • Azhar E.I.
      • Hui D.S.C.
      • Memish Z.A.
      • Drosten C.
      • Zumla A.
      The Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS).
      ,
      • Choi W.S.
      • Kang C.-I.
      • Kim Y.
      • Choi J.-P.
      • Joh J.S.
      • Shin H.-S.
      • et al.
      Clinical presentation and outcomes of Middle East respiratory syndrome in the Republic of Korea.
      ,
      • Saad M.
      • Omrani A.S.
      • Baig K.
      • Bahloul A.
      • Elzein F.
      • Matin M.A.
      • et al.
      Clinical aspects and outcomes of 70 patients with Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus infection: a single-center experience in Saudi Arabia.
      ]
      Date of emergence in human population
      201920022012
      Absolute number of cases
      80 23980962260
      Demographic and general characteristics, % of cases
      Male40–6038–4259.5–64
      Female40–5564–6835–40
      Cardiovascular disease10–4689.1
      Chronic lung disease1–21–210.2
      Diabetes101618.8
      Malignancy2–4615.5
      Signs and symptoms, % of cases
      Fever81–9199–10081.7–98
      Cough48–6857–7556.9–83
      Dyspnoea19–3140–4222–72
      Sore throat2913–259.1–14
      Dizziness and confusion224–435.4
      Diarrhoea1623–7019.4–26
      Nausea and vomiting620–3514–21
      Laboratory findings on admission, % of cases
      Leukopenia3533.914
      Lymphopenia35–7254–7032
      Thrombocytopenia1244.836
      Elevated aminotransferases28–352311–40
      Radiological chest findings on admission, % of cases
      Unilateral infiltrate1046–5414.3–62.6
      Bilateral infiltrate84–9029–4537.4–75
      No findings1413–254.3–30
      Complications, % of cases
      Intensive care unit admission2423–3453–89
      Acute respiratory distress syndrome18–302020–30
      Acute kidney injury36.741–50
      Deaths in hospitalized patients10–113.6–15.730–40
      Laboratory findings in patients diagnosed with COVID-19 are not remarkably different from those diagnosed with the other coronavirus infections, with lymphopenia as the most common finding, together with low platelet count, decreased albumin levels and increased aminotransferases, lactic dehydrogenase, creatine kinase and C-reactive protein levels. No data are available on lymphocyte subpopulations levels, but it would be interesting to know whether the virus-associated lymphopenia affects CD4+ and CD8+ subpopulations differently, to predict the possible development of superimposed bacterial or opportunistic infections which have so far been reported in a small number of cases [
      • Chen N.
      • Zhou M.
      • Dong X.
      • Qu J.
      • Gong F.
      • Han Y.
      • et al.
      Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study.
      ].
      Radiological presentation of COVID-19 is not much different from pneumonia associated with the other two coronaviruses, even though the proportion of cases with bilateral findings seems to be higher in COVID-19 cases. The most common CT findings in COVID-19 is bilateral pulmonary parenchymal ground-glass, consolidative or ‘crazy paving’ pulmonary lesions, often with a rounded shape and a peripheral distribution [
      • Chung M.
      • Bernheim A.
      • Mei X.
      • Zhang N.
      • Huang M.
      • Zeng X.
      • et al.
      CT imaging features of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV).
      ]. Interestingly, in a recent study on 167 patients from Hubei province with suspected COVID-19 who underwent chest CT scan and respiratory swab for detection of SARS-CoV-2, five subjects (3%) had a CT scan that was strongly suggestive of COVID-19, but an initially negative real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). These patients were isolated for presumed COVID-19 pneumonia, and the respiratory swab repeated between 2 and 8 days later turned positive [
      • Xie X.
      • Zhong Z.
      • Zhao W.
      • Zheng C.
      • Wang F.
      • Liu J.
      Chest CT for typical 2019-nCoV pneumonia: relationship to negative RT-PCR testing.
      ].
      Patients diagnosed with COVID-19 may have an unfavourable clinical course with the onset of dyspnoea within 5 days, ARDS within 8 days in 30% of cases, and the need for invasive mechanical ventilation and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in 17% and 4% of cases, respectively [
      • Wang D.
      • Hu B.
      • Hu C.
      • Zhu F.
      • Liu X.
      • Zhang J.
      • et al.
      Clinical characteristics of 138 hospitalized patients with 2019 novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia in Wuhan, China.
      ]. These findings are in line with SARS percentages, while the clinical course of MERS seems to be characterized by a more frequent development of ARDS and the need for invasive life support, especially in elderly patients and smokers [
      • Azhar E.I.
      • Hui D.S.C.
      • Memish Z.A.
      • Drosten C.
      • Zumla A.
      The Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS).
      ]. In particular, acute kidney injury (AKI), which rarely occurs in SARS and COVID-19, seems to be a peculiar complication of MERS. Although this could be explained by a direct renal cytopathic effect induced by the virus, since DDP4 receptors are largely represented in tubules and glomeruli, it seems more probable that the high percentage of AKI reported is due to multiorgan failure, which occurs more frequently in MERS than in the other coronavirus infections [
      • Cha R.H.
      • Joh J.S.
      • Jeong I.
      • Lee J.Y.
      • Shin H.S.
      • Kim G.
      • et al.
      Renal complications and their prognosis in Korean patients with Middle East respiratory syndrome-coronavirus from the central MERS-CoV designated hospital.
      ].

      Conclusions

      COVID-19 seems not to be very different from SARS regarding its clinical features; it seems to be less lethal than MERS, which is less closely related to the other two coronavirus in terms of both phylogenetic and pathogenetic features.
      COVID-19 generally has a less severe clinical picture, and thus it can spread in the community more easily than MERS and SARS, which have frequently been reported in the nosocomial setting. The lessons learned from SARS and MERS might have contributed to the institution of more efficient preventive measures in healthcare settings.
      What are the causes of such different abilities to spread among these three viruses? A first hypothesis is a different viral tropism for the respiratory tract, resulting in a milder but highly transmissible disease when the virus replicates in the upper respiratory tract, and a severe pneumonia with lower spreading potential when the viral tropism is higher for the lower respiratory tract. This hypothesis derives from the example of the influenza viruses, namely seasonal influenza viruses H1N1 and H3N2. They preferably bind α-2,6-linked sialic acid receptors of the upper respiratory tract, usually causing a less severe but more transmissible disease than avian influenza H5N1 or H7N9, which preferably bind α-2,3-linked sialic acid in the lung alveoli, causing severe pneumonia [
      • Yang W.
      • Punyadarsaniya D.
      • Lambertz R.L.O.
      • Lee D.C.C.
      • Liang C.H.
      • Höper D.
      • et al.
      Mutations during the adaptation of H9N2 avian influenza virus to the respiratory epithelium of pigs enhance sialic acid binding activity and virulence in mice.
      ]. On the other hand, SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV use receptors that have been found in both the upper and the lower respiratory tract. Moreover, other human coronaviruses, such as NL63-CoV, cause a mild illness even if they bind to the same receptor as SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV [
      • Munster V.J.
      • Koopmans M.
      • van Doremalen N.
      • van Riel D.
      • de Wit E.
      A novel coronavirus emerging in China — key questions for impact assessment.
      ]. So, in our opinion, it is likely that the different inoculum dose at the time of infection makes the difference in terms of severity of the disease; heavy inoculum exposures seem to be linked to a greater penetration into the lower respiratory tract, causing severe pneumonia, whereas lower inoculum exposures allow viruses to only reach the upper airway, causing a milder infection.
      Viral loads are higher at the time of symptom onset and are higher in nose than in throat specimens [
      • Kim J.Y.
      • Ko J.-H.
      • Kim Y.
      • Kim Y.J.
      • Kim J.M.
      • Chung Y.S.
      • et al.
      Viral load kinetics of SARS-CoV-2 infection in first two patients in Korea.
      ,
      • Zou L.
      • Ruan F.
      • Huang M.
      • Liang L.
      • Huang H.
      • Hong Z.
      • et al.
      SARS-CoV-2 viral load in upper respiratory specimens of infected patients.
      ]. Furthermore, in patients affected by COVID-19, viral load progressively decreases within days, following a different pattern from SARS in which the highest shedding is recorded after 10 days from symptom onset [
      • Kim J.Y.
      • Ko J.-H.
      • Kim Y.
      • Kim Y.J.
      • Kim J.M.
      • Chung Y.S.
      • et al.
      Viral load kinetics of SARS-CoV-2 infection in first two patients in Korea.
      ,
      • Zou L.
      • Ruan F.
      • Huang M.
      • Liang L.
      • Huang H.
      • Hong Z.
      • et al.
      SARS-CoV-2 viral load in upper respiratory specimens of infected patients.
      ,
      • Peiris J.S.M.
      • Chu C.M.
      • Cheng V.C.C.
      • Chan K.S.
      • Hung I.F.N.
      • Poon L.L.M.
      • et al.
      Clinical progression and viral load in a community outbreak of coronavirus-associated SARS pneumonia: a prospective study.
      ]. These findings suggest that SARS-CoV-2 may spread more easily in the community than SARS even when initial mild symptoms or no symptoms are present.
      The differences in the intrinsic virulence of the viruses themselves can explain the different capacity for spreading. MERS-CoV has a higher mortality but a lower transmissibility, probably because it causes a more severe clinical picture than COVID-19 and SARS, requiring hospitalization more frequently, thus reducing the community spread of the infection and increasing the nosocomial transmission [
      • Munster V.J.
      • Koopmans M.
      • van Doremalen N.
      • van Riel D.
      • de Wit E.
      A novel coronavirus emerging in China — key questions for impact assessment.
      ,
      • Chen J.
      Pathogenicity and transmissibility of 2019-nCoV—a quick overview and comparison with other emerging viruses.
      ]. On the other hand, the apparent higher mortality of MERS could be biased by the fact that most of the data available on MERS were derived from hospitalized patients, thus implicating a more severe clinical picture than community-acquired cases [
      • Bleibtreu A.
      • Bertine M.
      • Bertin C.
      • Houhou-Fidouh N.
      • Visseaux B.
      Focus on Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV).
      ]. This hypothesis is strengthened by the observation that, when the cohort of patients with MERS was derived from the community and not from hospital outbreaks, the mortality rate decreased to 10%, as was observed in a cohort study carried out in 2015 in Saudi Arabia [
      • Bleibtreu A.
      • Bertine M.
      • Bertin C.
      • Houhou-Fidouh N.
      • Visseaux B.
      Focus on Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV).
      ].
      Interestingly, despite the high virological similarity between the SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV, gastrointestinal symptoms and diarrhoea seem to be much more common in SARS, although the proportion of SARS patients with gastrointestinal symptoms varies among different studies, from 23% to 70% in the Toronto outbreak and in the Hong Kong community outbreak, respectively [
      • Peiris J.S.M.
      • Chu C.M.
      • Cheng V.C.C.
      • Chan K.S.
      • Hung I.F.N.
      • Poon L.L.M.
      • et al.
      Clinical progression and viral load in a community outbreak of coronavirus-associated SARS pneumonia: a prospective study.
      ,
      • Booth C.M.
      Clinical features and short-term outcomes of 144 patients with SARS in the Greater Toronto Area.
      ]. Such a difference could be related to the fact that the Hong Kong outbreak seemed to originate from a faecal contamination of a residential complex due to a faulty sewage system, while the Toronto outbreak was caused mainly by nosocomial hospital droplet transmission [
      • Peiris J.S.M.
      • Chu C.M.
      • Cheng V.C.C.
      • Chan K.S.
      • Hung I.F.N.
      • Poon L.L.M.
      • et al.
      Clinical progression and viral load in a community outbreak of coronavirus-associated SARS pneumonia: a prospective study.
      ,
      • Booth C.M.
      Clinical features and short-term outcomes of 144 patients with SARS in the Greater Toronto Area.
      ]. The gastrointestinal route of transmission has also been hypothesized for MERS-CoV through the consumption of infected camel milk; moreover, gastrointestinal transmission has been demonstrated in the animal model through intestinal DPP4 receptors [
      • Zhou J.
      • Li C.
      • Zhao G.
      • Chu H.
      • Wang D.
      • Yan H.H.-N.
      • et al.
      Human intestinal tract serves as an alternative infection route for Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus.
      ]. From this finding, the reported detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in the loose stools of the first US patient with COVID-19 is not surprising [
      • Holshue M.L.
      • DeBolt C.
      • Lindquist S.
      • Lofy K.H.
      • Wiesman J.
      • Bruce H.
      • et al.
      First case of 2019 novel coronavirus in the United States.
      ]. SARS-CoV replicates in the enteric epithelium by binding to the ACE2 receptor, and it cannot be excluded that SARS-CoV-2 would behave in the same way [
      • Hamming I.
      • Timens W.
      • Bulthuis M.L.C.
      • Lely A.T.
      • Navis G.J.
      • van Goor H.
      Tissue distribution of ACE2 protein, the functional receptor for SARS coronavirus. A first step in understanding SARS pathogenesis.
      ]. This may contribute to the hypothesis that SARS-CoV-2 could also be transmitted via this route; there is also evidence that SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV remain viable in environmental conditions that could facilitate faecal–oral transmission [
      • Yeo C.
      • Kaushal S.
      • Yeo D.
      Enteric involvement of coronaviruses: is faecal–oral transmission of SARS-CoV-2 possible?.
      ]. In Table 3 we provide a synthesis of what is certain about COVID-19 to date and what needs to be further addressed.
      Table 3Facts and open issues about COVID-19
      Facts about COVID-19Questions needing further assessment
      • SARS-CoV-2 is more phylogenetically related to SARS-CoV than to MERS-CoV
      • Only minor differences have been found between the genome sequences of SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV
      • SARS-CoV-2 affinity for angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptor is higher than that of SARS-CoV
      • COVID-19 fatality rate is lower than that found in SARS and MERS
      • SARS-CoV-2 RNA has been detected in the stools of infected patients, similarly to SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV
      • 1.2% of COVID-19 cases are asymptomatic
      • COVID-19 is not very different from SARS and MERS regarding demographic characteristics, laboratory and radiological findings
      • Clinical complications in COVID-19 are as frequent as in SARS, but less frequent than in MERS
      • Viral loads in COVID-19 patients are higher at the time of symptom onset and progressively decrease during the clinical course of the disease
      • What is the role of amino acid substitutions on the SARS-CoV-2 receptor binding domain in terms of pathogenesis?
      • Does the higher affinity of SARS-CoV-2 than SARS-CoV for angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptor have an implication in respiratory complications?
      • Is the faecal–oral route of transmission possible for COVID-19?
      • What is the role of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases in the epidemiology of the disease?
      • What is the actual COVID-19 basic reproductive number (R0)?
      • Are differences in viral kinetics in the respiratory tract responsible for the different spreading potential of COVID-19, SARS and MERS?
      In conclusion, there is still much more to know about COVID-19, especially its epidemiological features such as mortality and capacity to spread on a pandemic level. The lessons we have learned in the past from the SARS and MERS epidemics are the best cultural weapons we have to face this new global threat.

      Author contributions

      NP and GV contributed to literature search and writing the paper. EP, OE and GI revised the manuscript and gave their final opinion on its intellectual content.

      Transparency declaration

      The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. No external funding was received for this work. The work was supported by Ricerca Corrente , IRCCS .

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